TROPICANA

3 juin 2024, 09:00 → 28 juin 2024, 17:00 Europe/Paris

Institut Pascal

TROPIcal Cyclones in ANthropocene: physics, simulations & Attribution

The TROPICANA project, scheduled for May/June 2024, represents a pioneering interdisciplinary effort to address the intricate challenges surrounding tropical cyclones, medicanes, and their connection with climate change. These cyclones, known for their devastating impacts, pose substantial threats to both life and property. The project adopts a multifaceted approach encompassing physics, modeling, statistical methodologies, and climate attribution studies to enhance our understanding. With a program spanning four weeks, including workshops, discussions, and public engagement initiatives, TROPICANA aims to foster collaboration, knowledge sharing, and project development. By delivering a perspective paper in a prestigious journal and actively pursuing additional funding to support early-career scientists, TROPICANA seeks to make a significant and lasting contribution to climate science, ultimately contributing to a more resilient future.

TROPICANA DESCRIPTION

TROPICANA (TROPIcal Cyclones in ANthropocene: physics, simulations & Attribution) is a programme, aiming to address complex issues related to tropical cyclones, medicanes, and their connection with climate change. The challenge lies in understanding and predicting the behavior of these destructive storms, especially in the context of climate change.

Current climate models struggle to replicate severe storm dynamics, creating uncertainty in projections. To overcome this, TROPICANA adopts an innovative approach involving physics, simulations, and attribution studies. It focuses on four key areas :

1. Physics & Modeling: Investigating the physical mechanisms driving cyclones, with a focus on factors like cyclogenesis and rapid intensification.
2. Statistical Methodologies: Using advanced techniques like artificial intelligence and statistical-dynamical downscaling to enhance simulation accuracy and correct biases.
3. Climate Change Attribution: Assessing climate change's role in altering cyclone intensity and frequency by attributing changes in related variables.
4. Medicanes Study: Addressing the unique challenges posed by medicanes, including tracking methods and future simulations.

The program spans four weeks, including workshops, discussions, conferences, and educational sessions. It also extends its impact to students and the public through lectures, practical training, and outreach events.

While promoting on-site participation, TROPICANA also explores hybrid options for accessibility. The project will culminate in a perspective paper in a prestigious journal, contributing valuable insights to climate science.

To fully realize its potential we strongly encourage collaborations between senior and early-career scientists. 

TROPICANA promises to revolutionize our understanding of cyclones and climate change, making a lasting impact on climate science. Join us in unraveling the cyclone conundrum and building a more resilient future.

 

 keynotes:
 

• Monday 3rd June 2pm: Kerry Emanuel: Overview of Medicanes, polar lows and subtropical storms
• Participer Zoom Réunion
  https://zoom.us/j/93089760399?pwd=TnlEejFGTXVJdkRseGppZmtDL3FRdz09

     ID de réunion: 930 8976 0399
     Code secret: 045668
 

• Tuesday 4th June 10am: Emmanouil Flanouas: An overview of recent advancements in the dynamics of Mediterranean cyclones and the specific case of medicanes
• Participer Zoom Réunion
•  https://zoom.us/j/95125299925?pwd=TDBibWhCdUEwQ1F6d21NL1lHNWJFZz09 
• ID de réunion: 951 2529 9925 
• Code secret: 951156
•  
• Monday 10th June 10.30am: Erika Coppola: On the need for km-scale climate projections to understand change in extreme convective precipitation events. The role of AI-based climate emulators. On the Need for Kilometre-Scale Climate Projections to understand change in Extreme 
  Convective Precipitation Events. The role of AI based Climate Emulators.
• Participer Zoom Réunion
  https://zoom.us/j/91228173726?pwd=Wmp6ZVVVclEzTGloVm5mMmd2YmhQUT09
  ID de réunion: 912 2817 3726
  Code secret: 868521
   
• Monday 17th June 11am: Zhuo Wang:  Tropical Cyclogenesis: from the mesoscale to planetary scale, from the real atmosphere to the modeling world
• Participer Zoom Réunion
•  https://zoom.us/j/91976114574?pwd=Y2J3cWlvcGNNZG1CZnlEYjAxeHZ1UT09 
• ID de réunion: 919 7611 4574 
• Code secret: 768452
•  
• Monday 24th June 11am: Ning Lin: Tropical cyclones hazards and risk in a changing climate
• Participer Zoom Réunion
• https://zoom.us/j/99746533200?pwd=WXhUUDFpaFYxZDZzNzJzbHBlY2I1QT09
  ID de réunion: 997 4653 3200
  Code secret: 850226

 

 

TROPICANA Hands-on Tutorials : 

Stella Bourdin’s and Colin Zarzycki’s tutorial on “Tropical Cyclone Tracking”: https://docs.google.com/document/d/1_OllhkaPD4F9cgsKdD0y3XQPKkXLykhfIvah0ZZeZAI/edit

Chia-Ying Lee’s tutorial on the “Columbia Tropical Cyclone Hazard Model”: https://github.com/cl3225/CHAZ

Maria Molina’s and Tom Beucler’s tutorial on “Machine Learning for Tropical Meteorology”: https://github.com/tbeucler/2024_TROPICANA_ML

 

All talks of the 4 weeks: 

https://drive.google.com/drive/folders/1WuXq1FzpgbFzIo9qKqZm-pR7DUw7jikp?usp=drive_link

 

Programme Tropicana

TROPICANA-program- zoom links .pdf